PoliticsResolved
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$65.0K
1,404 trades
Smart Whales
89
of 303 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
44 YESvs46 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $4.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3.7K·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$11.7K
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.0K(+51.0%)
Whales
44
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥇
Entry 53¢·10,158.4 shares
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$4733
+$4733INV $5.4K · WR 76.3%
D
dsjkfbc🥈
Entry 90¢·1,330.6 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $1.2K · WR 64.6%
C
CosmicCedar◆Proven🥉
Entry 98¢·1,068.9 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $1.0K · WR 90.0%
V
vib3lite
Entry 90¢·560 shares
Invested
$506
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $506 · WR 87.0%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 82¢·489.4 shares
Invested
$402
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $402 · WR 56.7%
P
pilipro3
Entry 67¢·545.3 shares
Invested
$368
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$177
+$177INV $368 · WR 71.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 83¢·400 shares
Invested
$330
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $330 · WR 57.7%
V
Vegetadu35
Entry 81¢·346.4 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $282 · WR 90.4%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 43¢·500 shares·also $289 on NO
Invested
$215
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$285
+$285INV $215 · WR 63.4%
B
BilmoBeggins
Entry 89¢·224.8 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $201 · WR 69.7%
Showing top 10 of 44
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.0K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.5K(-81.0%)
Whales
46
S
StraddleSeller🥇
Entry 48¢·6,084.2 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-2940
$-2940INV $2.9K · WR 66.2%
F
Flipadelphia🥈
Entry 22¢·8,365.5 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1838
$-1838INV $1.8K · WR 56.8%
C
catalanpaths🥉
Entry 20¢·3,000.3 shares
Invested
$589
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-589
$-589INV $589 · WR 66.4%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 56¢·516.7 shares·also $215 on YES
Invested
$289
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-289
$-289INV $289 · WR 63.4%
P
panitom
Entry 13¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-194
$-194INV $195 · WR 67.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 44¢·390 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-171
$-171INV $171 · WR 79.6%
E
estoicc
Entry 32¢·307.3 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-97
$-97INV $97 · WR 55.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 9¢·1,071.5 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $93 · WR 55.3%
A
Anon321321
Entry 19¢·471.4 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 86.3%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 12¢·734.3 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $88 · WR 62.5%
Showing top 10 of 46
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