PoliticsResolved
Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$15.4K
655 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 165 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs21 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$29+9 new NO$380
$44 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13 is directional: YES $2·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$810
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$810(-100.0%)
Whales
8
1
1oooo9kkl🥇hedged
Entry 49¢·511 shares·also $365 on NO
Invested
$248
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-248
$-248INV $248 · WR 71.9%
S
StarMaster◆Proven🥈
Entry 57¢·305 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $175 · WR 55.3%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 58¢·286.1 shares·also $266 on NO
Invested
$166
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-166
$-166INV $166 · WR 58.3%
P
paddaa
Entry 42¢·350 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $147 · WR 61.2%
T
toolatethistimehedged
Entry 64¢·105 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$68
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $68 · WR 55.4%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven
Entry 51¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 67.4%
V
VolynMolfarhedged
Entry 50¢·5 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 65.2%
B
big-bird1
Entry 59¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 68.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$951(+72.6%)
Whales
21
1
1oooo9kkl🥇hedged
Entry 78¢·466 shares·also $248 on YES
Invested
$365
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $365 · WR 71.9%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥈
Entry 45¢·631.9 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$348
+$348INV $284 · WR 63.1%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 65¢·406.2 shares·also $166 on YES
Invested
$266
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $266 · WR 58.3%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 45¢·331.8 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$184
+$184INV $148 · WR 55.2%
O
Ordon
Entry 100¢·62.7 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $63 · WR 88.4%
T
toolatethistimehedged
Entry 55¢·105 shares·also $68 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $58 · WR 55.4%
T
takertime
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 65.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 43¢·35.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $15 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 86.0%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 36¢·24 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $9 · WR 79.9%
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