🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$17.5K
484 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 143 traders

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

14 MARKETS · $69.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs15 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$819+22 new NO$1.0K
$439 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $439 is directional: YES $201·NO $239
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$778(-77.4%)
Whales
11
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 55¢·1,190 shares
$-591INV $657 · WR 56.9%
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥈
Entry 57¢·200 shares
$-102INV $113 · WR 70.9%
I
ifyouloveme🥉
Entry 62¢·100 shares
$-4INV $62 · WR 56.4%
G
G.Hchen
Entry 60¢·100 shares
$-1INV $60 · WR 55.3%
S
SnowLover7Proven
Entry 60¢·84.7 shares
$-46INV $51 · WR 66.2%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 89¢·25 shares·also $33 on NO
$-21INV $22 · WR 72.1%
O
olivia89
Entry 68¢·28.9 shares
$-3INV $20 · WR 83.8%
D
dearwinNFLhedged
Entry 47¢·25 shares·also $17 on NO
$-10INV $12 · WR 95.9%
G
Gordon-Gekko
Entry 64¢·8 shares
$-0INV $5 · WR 60.5%
I
Insignificant-Triangle
Entry 60¢·5 shares
$-0INV $3 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 169ms
Smart money 45% YES: Democrats win exactly 4 House seats…