12 days left

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October?

YES Price
8ยข
8% implied
NO Price
92ยข
92% implied
Volume
$3.6K
134 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 86 traders

Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 8ยข
YES 0%NO 100%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 8ยข
Net of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars ยท 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%ยท net of hedges
+9 new YES+9 new NO ยท 1 smart whale
$16 bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
In-form wallets โ“˜3 of 4 on NO
YES 1NO 3one dot = one wallet

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 34h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $190 is directional: YES $0ยทNO $190

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 0% YES: Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October