YES Price
68¢
68% implied
NO Price
32¢
32% implied
Volume
$6.7K
331 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 114 traders
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
5 MARKETS · $24.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October←
68¢−36¢$6.7K6/13Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October←−36¢68¢
$6.7K6/13
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October
25¢+7¢$8.7K7/15Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October+7¢25¢
$8.7K7/15
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October
6¢−2¢$3.7K1/23Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October−2¢6¢
$3.7K1/23
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs14 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$705+35 new NO$451
$255 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $522 is directional: YES $398·NO $125YES Team
Total Invested
$401
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$376(+93.6%)
Whales
5
C
Conscious-Belligerency◆Proven🥇
Entry 46¢·765.9 shares
Invested
$354
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$215
+$215INV $354 · WR 70.0%
G
gambler925🥈
Entry 73¢·35.5 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $26 · WR 56.8%
W
Witty-Birch🥉
Entry 6¢·235.6 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$160
+$160INV $15 · WR 64.7%
A
agentcal
Entry 77¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 56.1%
W
WeRDoomed
Entry 60¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 61.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$347
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$149(-42.8%)
Whales
14
M
ms1910🥇
Entry 87¢·137.6 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $120 · WR 57.0%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 44¢·151 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $66 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 44¢·80.8 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $35 · WR 72.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 43¢·80 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $35 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $27 · WR 88.1%
A
akroll
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $14 · WR 85.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 35¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 84.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 41¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 85.9%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 36¢·23.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 69.7%
K
klli27
Entry 68¢·12 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $8 · WR 85.7%
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