YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.5K
300 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 113 traders
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
5 MARKETS · $22.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October
74¢−43¢$6.4K5/11Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October−43¢74¢
$6.4K5/11
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October
19¢+10¢$7.3K5/12Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October+10¢19¢
$7.3K5/12
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October
6¢−6¢$3.4K0/18Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October−6¢6¢
$3.4K0/18
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs16 NO
94%
94% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+10 new YES$1+21 new NO$762
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $135 is directional: YES $0·NO $135YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-99.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$396
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$78(+19.7%)
Whales
16
M
ms1910🥇
Entry 79¢·151 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $120 · WR 57.0%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 90¢·102.2 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $92 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 83¢·40 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $33 · WR 88.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 100¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $27 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 72.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 86.6%
A
akroll
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 85.6%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 47¢·26.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $13 · WR 68.8%
K
klli27
Entry 95¢·12 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 85.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 98¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 69.4%
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