Resolved
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.9K
208 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 95 traders
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$37
Avg Win Rate
87.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-100.0%)
Whales
4
S
sfdgr43🥇
Entry 93¢·38 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 88.9%
C
Classic-Loggia🥈
Entry 4¢·39 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever🥉
Entry 4¢·6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.7%
M
mikecoin1◆Proven
Entry 0¢·101.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 74.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$318
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$241(+75.8%)
Whales
14
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥇
Entry 66¢·115.9 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $76 · WR 59.1%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 79¢·65 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $52 · WR 86.0%
H
Hasty-Worker🥉
Entry 100¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 59.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 89.3%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 100¢·25.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 83.8%
K
korda77
Entry 26¢·89 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $23 · WR 85.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 85¢·21 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 72.1%
B
BlackSheepWall
Entry 99¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.4%
S
svdf3
Entry 93¢·7.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 85.7%
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