YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$26.8K
424 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 190 traders
How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
9 MARKETS · $250.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs24 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 23¢
YES 27%NO 73%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 23¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
$190
$755
+14 new YES · 2 smart whales+14 new NO · 4 smart whales
$106 bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2NO 3one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 18h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $1.4K·NO $309YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$201(-13.4%)
Whales
9
M
MrMelonHead🥇
Entry 51¢·680.8 shares
Invested
$349
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-187
$-187INV $349 · WR 65.4%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥈
Entry 9¢·3,218.3 shares
Invested
$292
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$463
+$463INV $292 · WR 61.0%
M
Mataty1🥉
Entry 75¢·381.6 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-196
$-196INV $286 · WR 73.8%
H
Hakei.
Entry 71¢·283.9 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-133
$-133INV $201 · WR 71.9%
H
HornyBibi
Entry 57¢·320.8 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $183 · WR 59.7%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 26¢·504.4 shares·also $146 on NO
Invested
$129
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $129 · WR 70.6%
P
parameter1
Entry 81¢·60 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $48 · WR 62.8%
4
0x4e12f04a...
Entry 16¢·59.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 82.4%
F
Flobodan
Entry 34¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 56.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$607(+28.1%)
Whales
24
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 90¢·479.8 shares
Invested
$431
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $431 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 58¢·409.9 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $239 · WR 71.9%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥉
Entry 83¢·249.7 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $208 · WR 78.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 41¢·455 shares
Invested
$187
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$161
+$161INV $187 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 71¢·253.2 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $180 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 75¢·234.8 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $175 · WR 86.1%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 29¢·504.4 shares·also $129 on YES
Invested
$146
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$240
+$240INV $146 · WR 70.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 97¢·125 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $122 · WR 86.5%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 43¢·192 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $83 · WR 85.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 59¢·140 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $82 · WR 84.3%
Showing top 10 of 24
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