YES Price
16ยข
16% implied
NO Price
84ยข
84% implied
Volume
$48.3K
648 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 192 traders ยท 2 on both sides
How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
9 MARKETS ยท $248.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs19 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 16ยข
YES 39%NO 61%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 16ยข
Net of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars ยท 10 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%ยท net of hedges
$219
$711
+16 new YES ยท 4 smart whales+14 new NO ยท 2 smart whales
$159 bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers โ left out of momentum
In-form wallets โ5 of 7 on YES
YES 5NO 2one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 16h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$637 of $3.5K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $796ยทNO $2.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$108(+9.7%)
Whales
12
E
edwardmarkfly๐ฅ
Entry 13ยขยท2,948.8 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $385 ยท WR 79.7%
S
sbimbg๐ฅhedged
Entry 35ยขยท844.5 sharesยทalso $468 on NO
Invested
$294
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-158
$-158INV $294 ยท WR 71.2%
S
SnapElectionAvoiderโProven๐ฅ
Entry 11ยขยท2,599.3 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$137
+$137INV $281 ยท WR 61.0%
K
KimchiCapitalโProven
Entry 24ยขยท362.7 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $86 ยท WR 78.8%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 5ยขยท500 sharesยทalso $284 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $25 ยท WR 70.6%
H
HornyBibi
Entry 9ยขยท185.1 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $16 ยท WR 59.7%
O
Oskoreiter
Entry 22ยขยท50 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $11 ยท WR 56.8%
1
0x11eaaf41...
Entry 35ยขยท26.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $9 ยท WR 58.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 11ยขยท25 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 ยท WR 79.6%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 7ยขยท30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 ยท WR 84.3%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$132(-3.3%)
Whales
19
H
Hakei.๐ฅ
Entry 96ยขยท1,656.3 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-206
$-206INV $1.6K ยท WR 71.9%
S
sbimbg๐ฅhedged
Entry 73ยขยท638.2 sharesยทalso $294 on YES
Invested
$468
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $468 ยท WR 71.2%
L
Lucerys๐ฅ
Entry 92ยขยท479.8 shares
Invested
$443
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $443 ยท WR 87.7%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 78ยขยท365.7 sharesยทalso $25 on YES
Invested
$284
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $284 ยท WR 70.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 89ยขยท225 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $200 ยท WR 88.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 93ยขยท213.1 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $199 ยท WR 87.5%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 89ยขยท216 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $192 ยท WR 85.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 76ยขยท234.8 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $177 ยท WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 68ยขยท147 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $100 ยท WR 72.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 74ยขยท125 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $93 ยท WR 87.9%
Showing top 10 of 19
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