Tech/AI17 days left
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$15.8K
560 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 197 traders · 1 on both sides
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
21 MARKETS · $66.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs28 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 47¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 47¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%· net of hedges
$266
$318
+7 new YES+18 new NO · 2 smart whales
$162 bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 4 on YES
YES 3NO 1one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$17 of $560 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $506·NO $36YES Team
Total Invested
$533
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$224(+42.1%)
Whales
7
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥇
Entry 31¢·1,356.5 shares
Invested
$416
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$229
+$229INV $416 · WR 61.0%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥈
Entry 56¢·80 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $45 · WR 62.8%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥉
Entry 43¢·80.9 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $35 · WR 65.7%
A
arcjuicehedged
Entry 47¢·40 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 85.1%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7hedged
Entry 53¢·15.7 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 56.9%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 49¢·12.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 60.3%
D
Dear-Circadian
Entry 56¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 57.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$755
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$23(-3.0%)
Whales
28
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 58¢·184.4 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $107 · WR 88.6%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 57¢·179.4 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $101 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 55¢·121.8 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $67 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 39¢·146.5 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $57 · WR 87.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 63¢·87.3 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $55 · WR 86.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 83¢·60.7 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $50 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 62¢·60 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $37 · WR 71.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 55¢·60 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $33 · WR 86.1%
A
arcjuicehedged
Entry 70¢·40 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $28 · WR 85.1%
5
0x54b7689d...
Entry 86¢·29.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $25 · WR 100.0%
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