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Politics

Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$330.7K
1,549 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 275 traders

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

9 MARKETS · $1.22M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs76 NO
95%
95% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 16 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$98+40 new NO$16.2K
$75 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $91.7K is directional: YES $175·NO $91.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$301
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$215(-71.4%)
Whales
4
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 10¢·1,526.1 shares
$-139INV $153 · WR 87.6%
1
1walrus🥈hedged
Entry 2¢·6,298.7 shares·also $5.9K on NO
$-66INV $126 · WR 64.6%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 10¢·135.8 shares
$-12INV $14 · WR 75.6%
K
kroko
Entry 1¢·1,249 shares
+$2INV $9 · WR 56.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 11% YES: Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian…