17 days left
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$7.4K
230 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 112 traders
3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?
12 MARKETS · $98.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs24 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 25¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 25¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
$56
$177
+2 new YES · 1 smart whale+3 new NO
$3 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3NO 0one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 1h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $112 is directional: YES $93·NO $19YES Team
Total Invested
$104
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$82(+78.3%)
Whales
6
E
edwardmarkfly🥇
Entry 19¢·290.5 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $56 · WR 79.7%
H
Hauchn🥈
Entry 10¢·283.9 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $27 · WR 56.6%
W
WordleAddict◆Proven🥉
Entry 7¢·148.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $10 · WR 68.5%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 47¢·20 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $9 · WR 86.2%
L
lpgbhedged
Entry 7¢·21 shares·also $530 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 72.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 3¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 71.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$337(-13.8%)
Whales
24
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 92¢·635.6 shares
Invested
$584
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $584 · WR 87.7%
L
lpgb🥈hedged
Entry 89¢·593.1 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$530
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $530 · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 85¢·528 shares
Invested
$450
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $450 · WR 86.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 93¢·307.2 shares
Invested
$285
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $285 · WR 70.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 93¢·155 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $144 · WR 88.6%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 93¢·83.1 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $77 · WR 60.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 93¢·75 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $70 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 93¢·60 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $56 · WR 87.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 93¢·60 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $56 · WR 88.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 90¢·40.2 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $36 · WR 89.0%
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