Geopolitics17 days left
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$9.6K
365 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 150 traders · 1 on both sides
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
11 MARKETS · $34.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs13 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 55¢
YES 28%NO 72%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 55¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
$283
$78
+8 new YES · 1 smart whale+9 new NO
$59 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ5 of 5 on YES
YES 5NO 0one dot = one wallet
0 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 3h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$14 of $275 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $229·NO $32YES Team
Total Invested
$236
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$165(+69.6%)
Whales
5
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥇
Entry 44¢·260 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $114 · WR 65.7%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥈
Entry 29¢·220.1 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $64 · WR 62.8%
C
chaosj88◆Proven🥉
Entry 20¢·180 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $35 · WR 85.1%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven
Entry 28¢·50 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $14 · WR 61.0%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7hedged
Entry 33¢·25.5 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 56.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$307
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$79(-25.6%)
Whales
13
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 54¢·145 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $78 · WR 87.5%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 68¢·53.3 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $36 · WR 79.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 56¢·60 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $33 · WR 71.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 75¢·37 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $28 · WR 88.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 68¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $27 · WR 86.1%
E
Experienced-Wasting
Entry 52¢·44 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $23 · WR 63.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 69¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $21 · WR 88.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 76¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $19 · WR 87.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 69¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $14 · WR 70.1%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 47¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 84.3%
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