PoliticsResolved
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$63.8K
2,022 trades
Smart Whales
102
of 355 traders
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs77 NO
25%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $953 is directional: YES $0·NO $953YES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.8K(+62.1%)
Whales
25
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·1,000 shares·also $1.5K on NO
Invested
$998
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $998 · WR 57.7%
R
rigatohni◆Proven🥈
Entry 33¢·2,335.6 shares
Invested
$772
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$1564
+$1564INV $772 · WR 65.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 80¢·578.1 shares·also $112 on NO
Invested
$464
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$114
+$114INV $464 · WR 55.3%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 50¢·839.6 shares
Invested
$420
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$420
+$420INV $420 · WR 56.7%
P
Past-Badgehedged
Entry 80¢·404.8 shares·also $761 on NO
Invested
$325
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $325 · WR 89.2%
M
mrworldwidehedged
Entry 47¢·488 shares·also $544 on NO
Invested
$229
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$259
+$259INV $229 · WR 76.3%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 32¢·505.2 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$345
+$345INV $160 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 7 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$19.0K
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$15.2K(-80.0%)
Whales
77
P
panitom🥇
Entry 43¢·6,295.5 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-2684
$-2684INV $2.7K · WR 67.4%
M
merod🥈
Entry 71¢·2,172 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-1545
$-1545INV $1.5K · WR 84.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 216¢·699.6 shares·also $998 on YES
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1509
$-1509INV $1.5K · WR 57.7%
K
korda77
Entry 86¢·1,669 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-1438
$-1438INV $1.4K · WR 85.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 76¢·1,600.6 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1214
$-1214INV $1.2K · WR 79.6%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 91¢·1,193 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1085
$-1085INV $1.1K · WR 63.4%
G
god83743894
Entry 64¢·1,336.1 shares
Invested
$862
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-862
$-862INV $862 · WR 85.7%
P
Past-Badgehedged
Entry 188¢·404.8 shares·also $325 on YES
Invested
$761
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-761
$-761INV $761 · WR 89.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 90¢·807.1 shares
Invested
$723
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-723
$-723INV $723 · WR 85.9%
M
mrworldwidehedged
Entry 110¢·496 shares·also $229 on YES
Invested
$544
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-544
$-544INV $544 · WR 76.3%
Showing top 10 of 77
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