77 days left

Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?

YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$18.5K
208 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 124 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

17 YESvs13 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 60¢
YES 57%NO 43%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 60¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 11 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 76%· net of hedges
+37 new YES · 8 smart whales+30 new NO · 6 smart whales
$416 bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 3 · 5
YES 3· $2.9KNO 5· $2.6Kone dot = one wallet, whatever its stake

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 20h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $8.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5.8K·NO $2.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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