GeopoliticsResolved
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.6K
140 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 57 traders
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
2 MARKETS · $4.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs5 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $67 is directional: YES $5·NO $63YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-100.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+94.3%)
Whales
5
M
Mataty1🥇
Entry 50¢·3,252.2 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1626
+$1626INV $1.6K · WR 72.2%
D
Debosnys🥈
Entry 66¢·120.1 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
90.3%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $80 · WR 90.3%
T
texture🥉
Entry 100¢·49.2 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $49 · WR 92.7%
M
ms1910
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 57.9%
N
navinn
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 69.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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