GeopoliticsResolved
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$130.4K
980 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 339 traders
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs45 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 34 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.2K is directional: YES $947·NO $5.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-99.8%)
Whales
11
A
apmt◆Proven🥇
Entry 65¢·792.5 shares
Invested
$515
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
$-515
$-515INV $515 · WR 74.0%
A
ashensoul🥈
Entry 23¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$230
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-230
$-230INV $230 · WR 58.9%
G
groth◆Proven🥉
Entry 11¢·716 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $82 · WR 65.0%
B
BettingQuant
Entry 20¢·300 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $59 · WR 71.1%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 41¢·100 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$41
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $41 · WR 66.9%
M
Mchael
Entry 30¢·133.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 68.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 1¢·3,000 shares·also $5.5K on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 57.7%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 5¢·350 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 69.8%
C
Crypto-Well
Entry 0¢·2,153.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 56.5%
B
Barcide
Entry 0¢·100 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.9K
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+12.7%)
Whales
45
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 90¢·6,130.3 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$591
+$591INV $5.5K · WR 57.7%
A
Alpheo🥈
Entry 93¢·4,566.8 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
78.1%
Position P&L
+$304
+$304INV $4.3K · WR 78.1%
D
Dar1us🥉
Entry 87¢·3,864.5 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$510
+$510INV $3.4K · WR 70.8%
H
hymolu
Entry 99¢·3,163.6 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $3.1K · WR 76.7%
N
nedsta
Entry 96¢·848.5 shares
Invested
$815
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $815 · WR 87.8%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 91¢·331.4 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $300 · WR 57.1%
P
ProfessionalPunter◆Proven
Entry 49¢·552 shares
Invested
$271
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$281
+$281INV $271 · WR 74.6%
P
PicklePredictor
Entry 100¢·200.5 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $200 · WR 79.2%
R
Roro22◆Proven
Entry 89¢·184.9 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $164 · WR 74.9%
T
TimeCrumb
Entry 80¢·200 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $160 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 45
Smart Whale Trades
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