Resolved

Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

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YES Price

100¢

100% implied

NO Price

0¢

0% implied

Volume

$48.6K

1,218 trades

Smart Whales

of 182 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs37 NO

12%88%

88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$20 of $857 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $11·NO $826

YES Team

Total Invested

$255

Avg Win Rate

92.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$1.2K(+485.0%)

Whales

livepo1y🥇

Entry 15¢·1,436.5 shares

+$1225INV $212 · WR 95.6%

aliiz🥈hedged

Entry 52¢·21.8 shares·also $10 on NO

+$7INV $11 · WR 65.1%

+$7INV $10 · WR 58.0%

Showing top 3 of 5

NO Team

Total Invested

$3.1K

Avg Win Rate

67.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$2.5K(-82.5%)

Whales

JAMJAMJAM4🥇

Entry 51¢·1,027 shares

$-520INV $520 · WR 55.2%

qwen300.fund🥈

Entry 51¢·797.6 shares

$-408INV $408 · WR 86.0%

$-222INV $360 · WR 74.9%

$-266INV $266 · WR 56.3%

$-212INV $212 · WR 63.1%

$-205INV $205 · WR 58.7%

$-133INV $199 · WR 60.7%

Wilted-Burden-Survivor

$-143INV $143 · WR 70.3%

johnashbough

Entry 23¢·497.2 shares

$-113INV $113 · WR 55.8%

donthackme

Entry 17¢·628.2 shares

$-106INV $106 · WR 87.6%

Showing top 10 of 37

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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