GeopoliticsResolved

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$4.54M

5,085 trades

Smart Whales

351

of 2,365 traders

Smart Money Consensus

53 YESvs298 NO

15%85%

85% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$55.9K

Avg Win Rate

76.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$29.7K(-53.2%)

Whales

53

Avamax🥇hedged

Entry 98¢·16,612.3 shares·also $45 on NO

$-16292INV $16.3K · WR 80.2%

blazecore-13🥈hedged

Entry 100¢·7,669.5 shares·also $23 on NO

$-7662INV $7.7K · WR 79.1%

studmuffin6969🥉hedged

Entry 101¢·5,696 shares·also $59 on NO

$-5729INV $5.7K · WR 60.0%

Entry 0¢·7,500 shares

$-13INV $13 · WR 78.4%

Showing top 4 of 53

NO Team

Total Invested

$507.9K

Avg Win Rate

86.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$519.4K(+102.3%)

Whales

298

0x8a480b60...🥇

Entry 100¢·141,303 shares

+$707INV $140.6K · WR 97.9%

Entry 100¢·62,564.5 shares

+$68INV $62.5K · WR 93.2%

thegreengem🥉

Entry 100¢·43,183.5 shares

+$173INV $43.0K · WR 87.1%

Entry 100¢·35,000 shares

+$175INV $34.8K · WR 76.9%

Entry 35¢·94,297 shares

+$61180INV $33.1K · WR 56.8%

Entry 98¢·27,523.4 shares

+$502INV $27.0K · WR 91.3%

Entry 100¢·26,075 shares

+$59INV $26.0K · WR 84.0%

Entry 27¢·64,719.2 shares

+$47559INV $17.2K · WR 70.4%

Entry 100¢·16,922 shares

+$85INV $16.8K · WR 64.4%

Entry 99¢·15,279 shares

+$80INV $15.2K · WR 79.2%

Showing top 10 of 298

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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