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Geopolitics91 days left

US imports Russian diesel by January 31?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
68¢
68% implied
NO Price
32¢
32% implied
Volume
$6.6K
138 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 58 traders

US imports Russian diesel by...?

6 MARKETS · $435.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 79%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$2.5K+31 new NO$1.5K
$2.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $733 is directional: YES $349·NO $384
YES Team
Total Invested
$395
Avg Win Rate
59.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$48(+12.2%)
Whales
3
F
Fickle-Halt-Window🥇
Entry 65¢·536.6 shares
+$16INV $349 · WR 59.0%
H
hithitfar🥈hedged
Entry 37¢·95 shares·also $14 on NO
+$29INV $35 · WR 60.3%
H
hitunfar🥉hedged
Entry 54¢·19.9 shares·also $32 on NO
+$3INV $11 · WR 57.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: US imports Russian diesel by January 31