S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 14?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$4.1K
142 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 68 traders · 1 on both sides
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 14?
11 MARKETS · $17.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs14 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+36 new YES$946+44 new NO$3.7K
$728 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 40% of the money is not a bet
$409 of $1.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $8·NO $610YES Team
Total Invested
$461
Avg Win Rate
56.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$429(-93.0%)
Whales
10
T
thanksforplayin🥇hedged
Entry 124¢·200.3 shares·also $218 on NO
Invested
$249
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-244
$-244INV $249 · WR 55.6%
G
grasstoucher69🥈hedged
Entry 79¢·260.3 shares·also $803 on NO
Invested
$204
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-178
$-178INV $204 · WR 58.4%
7
0x7908c71c...🥉
Entry 29¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.1%
1
0x1b753f39...
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.9%
3
0x3941cc5f...
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.5%
F
0xf7572b7e...
Entry 79¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.1%
F
0xf75c7c16...
Entry 79¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.0%
A
0xa55174bf...
Entry 79¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 58.0%
9
0x96a03fd0...
Entry 79¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.1%
9
0x97b98443...
Entry 79¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$580(+49.3%)
Whales
14
G
grasstoucher69🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·976.9 shares·also $204 on YES
Invested
$803
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $803 · WR 58.4%
T
thanksforplayin🥈hedged
Entry 37¢·585.3 shares·also $249 on YES
Invested
$218
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$353
+$353INV $218 · WR 55.6%
E
0xe8d16a83...🥉
Entry 50¢·291.2 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $146 · WR 58.1%
0
0x0064d4e6...
Entry 24¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 57.1%
1
0x1daab0cc...
Entry 25¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 57.6%
C
0xc127ebb1...
Entry 24¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 58.9%
6
0x69c1c753...
Entry 25¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 57.4%
4
0x403e73cd...
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.4%
9
0x95693b5b...
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.4%
0
0x0457398e...
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.4%
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