S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 14?
YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$189
43 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 19 traders · 1 on both sides
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 14?
11 MARKETS · $2.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs2 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 99%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$2.5K+12 new NO$37
$37 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 51% of the money is not a bet
$14 of $27 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $13·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$54
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$26(+47.5%)
Whales
3
B
big-bird1🥇
Entry 50¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $24 · WR 68.6%
G
grasstoucher69🥈hedged
Entry 95¢·21 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 58.4%
T
thanksforplayin🥉hedged
Entry 68¢·15 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 55.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+80.3%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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