Resolved

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 9?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

100¢

100% implied

NO Price

0¢

0% implied

Volume

$7.5K

146 trades

Smart Whales

of 66 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs3 NO

73%27%

73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges

+24 new YES$4.1K+30 new NO$515

$380 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

7 smart whales2 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$97 of $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.6K·NO $80

YES Team

Total Invested

$2.5K

Avg Win Rate

81.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$315(+12.8%)

Whales

frankiewave🥇

Entry 97¢·851.8 shares

+$19INV $830 · WR 77.7%

TheRealestJOE🥈

Entry 100¢·719.5 shares

+$1INV $719 · WR 94.4%

rtgdfbert🥉hedged

Entry 65¢·713 shares·also $49 on NO

+$245INV $466 · WR 75.0%

+$2INV $297 · WR 77.3%

Frail-ItemProven

Entry 100¢·60.1 shares

+$0INV $60 · WR 79.1%

+$46INV $54 · WR 55.5%

prefict2027AT

Entry 98¢·20.5 shares

+$0INV $20 · WR 72.5%

NO Team

Total Invested

$128

Avg Win Rate

63.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$128(-99.5%)

Whales

grasstoucher69🥇

Entry 16¢·496.2 shares

$-78INV $78 · WR 56.5%

rtgdfbert🥈hedged

Entry 49¢·100 shares·also $466 on YES

$-48INV $49 · WR 75.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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