Watchful-Softening · Polymarket wallet 0x38f2…8690

Wallet snapshot

Watchful-Softening has made 1,058 trades on Polymarket across 236 markets, $24K in volume. Most of it is in sports (46%) and geopolitics (14%). On 224 resolved markets the win rate is 55.8%, lifetime P&L +$33. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 14?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 14?No · $378 · 53¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 12?Yes · +$31 · Oct 12, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 9?Yes · +$75 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 7?No · +$158 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 27?Yes · +$51 · Sep 27, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25?Yes · +$12 · Sep 25, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 24?No · +$59 · Sep 24, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 23?No · +$103 · Sep 23, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 22?Yes · +$91 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026

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