GeopoliticsResolved
Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 28, 2026?
YES Price
90¢
90% implied
NO Price
10¢
10% implied
Volume
$7.1K
181 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 73 traders
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs3 NO
77%23%
77% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $236 is directional: YES $236·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$256
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+9.9%)
Whales
10
L
lorry3122🥇
Entry 99¢·82.8 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $82 · WR 55.4%
O
Oskoreiter🥈
Entry 81¢·74.4 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $60 · WR 55.8%
E
estoicc🥉
Entry 62¢·62 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $39 · WR 55.5%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 76¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $30 · WR 69.6%
G
G24L8
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 67.7%
L
lottonakamotohedged
Entry 81¢·13.6 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 69.9%
B
0xbadaf319...hedged
Entry 135¢·5.2 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 67.4%
C
codexxxx
Entry 86¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 80.7%
G
GangBangfer
Entry 86¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 63.3%
T
TheNameisUnknownhedged
Entry 37¢·6 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 59.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$14
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-81.8%)
Whales
3
B
0xbadaf319...🥇hedged
Entry 203¢·4.8 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 67.4%
T
TheNameisUnknown🥈hedged
Entry 48¢·6 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 59.3%
L
lottonakamoto🥉hedged
Entry 10¢·13.6 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 69.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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