Politics21 days left
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$61.1K
152 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 59 traders
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
4 MARKETS · $169.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+46 new YES$9.2K+35 new NO$47.2K
$11.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 21 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $1.3K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$9.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.1K(-72.9%)
Whales
7
P
pilipro3🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·9,242 shares·also $669 on NO
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-6750
$-6750INV $8.0K · WR 71.2%
L
Lolakis🥈
Entry 14¢·7,531.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $1.0K · WR 61.8%
T
TimRob🥉hedged
Entry 92¢·428.9 shares·also $81 on NO
Invested
$395
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-338
$-338INV $395 · WR 76.0%
1
1walrus
Entry 14¢·2,271.4 shares
Invested
$314
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $314 · WR 65.1%
I
iamnumberfour
Entry 13¢·86 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 68.4%
S
sbimbg
Entry 13¢·50 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 72.2%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 17¢·25.1 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 68.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.4K(+127.5%)
Whales
10
A
AlphaGooo🥇
Entry 61¢·3,980.7 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$1027
+$1027INV $2.4K · WR 61.9%
P
pilipro3🥈hedged
Entry 15¢·4,575.1 shares·also $8.0K on YES
Invested
$669
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$3296
+$3296INV $669 · WR 71.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·860 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$315
+$315INV $430 · WR 85.9%
M
Majas
Entry 62¢·600 shares
Invested
$372
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $372 · WR 67.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·269.3 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$99
+$99INV $135 · WR 79.6%
T
TimRobhedged
Entry 19¢·428.9 shares·also $395 on YES
Invested
$81
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$290
+$290INV $81 · WR 76.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $40 · WR 86.0%
F
foxy4
Entry 13¢·201.2 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $26 · WR 58.8%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 86¢·20 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 68.4%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 85.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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