GeopoliticsResolved
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$269.0K
1,835 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 534 traders
Smart Money Consensus
42 YESvs40 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.1K is directional: YES $0·NO $4.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$104.6K
Avg Win Rate
90.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.4K(+8.0%)
Whales
42
S
scout🥇
Entry 95¢·102,629 shares
Invested
$97.2K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$5399
+$5399INV $97.2K · WR 92.0%
S
SwissMiss🥈hedged
Entry 351¢·495.6 shares·also $921 on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-1246
$-1246INV $1.7K · WR 62.6%
P
paddaa🥉
Entry 78¢·1,669.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$358
+$358INV $1.3K · WR 61.1%
P
Parz1vaIhedged
Entry 101¢·601.2 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$606
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $606 · WR 71.6%
H
Huludubu
Entry 79¢·677.5 shares
Invested
$535
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $535 · WR 65.1%
O
oscarodhedged
Entry 68¢·706.1 shares·also $305 on NO
Invested
$481
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$224
+$224INV $481 · WR 75.8%
M
mhh
Entry 65¢·669 shares
Invested
$435
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$234
+$234INV $435 · WR 57.0%
A
Arman2hedged
Entry 48¢·725.8 shares·also $166 on NO
Invested
$345
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$380
+$380INV $345 · WR 57.7%
T
taemaxx
Entry 48¢·688 shares
Invested
$330
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$358
+$358INV $330 · WR 62.9%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 42¢·766 shares
Invested
$325
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$441
+$441INV $325 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 42
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.5K(-89.3%)
Whales
40
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 41¢·6,872.2 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-2825
$-2825INV $2.8K · WR 64.4%
W
Worried-Enquiry🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·1,390.2 shares·also $108 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-1394
$-1394INV $1.4K · WR 81.3%
B
bamesjond◆Proven🥉
Entry 60¢·2,110.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1256
$-1256INV $1.3K · WR 85.7%
S
SwissMisshedged
Entry 186¢·495.6 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$921
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-921
$-921INV $921 · WR 62.6%
O
oscarodhedged
Entry 43¢·706.1 shares·also $481 on YES
Invested
$305
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-305
$-305INV $305 · WR 75.8%
L
LatoyaMendoza5181
Entry 77¢·343 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-265
$-265INV $266 · WR 56.3%
S
StarMasterhedged
Entry 37¢·669 shares·also $172 on YES
Invested
$248
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-248
$-248INV $248 · WR 55.4%
A
Arman2hedged
Entry 23¢·725.8 shares·also $345 on YES
Invested
$166
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-166
$-166INV $166 · WR 57.7%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 55¢·291.7 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-159
$-159INV $159 · WR 56.5%
P
Parz1vaIhedged
Entry 0¢·3,830.1 shares·also $606 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 71.6%
Showing top 10 of 40
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