35 days left
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026?
YES Price
21Âą
21% implied
NO Price
79Âą
79% implied
Volume
$134
14 trades
Smart Whales
1
of 11 traders
October 2026 Temperature Increase (ÂșC)
6 MARKETS · $4.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026
4Âąâ4Âą$1.5K0/2by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026â4Âą4Âą
$1.5K0/2
by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026
10Âąâ10Âą$2440/1by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026â10Âą10Âą
$2440/1
by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026
16Âą+34Âą$2381/1by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026+34Âą16Âą
$2381/1
by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026â
21Âą+79Âą$1341/0by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026â+79Âą21Âą
$1341/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs0 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+2 new YES$2+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides â all $11 is directional: YES $11·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$11
Avg Win Rate
56.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-23.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
â
Whales
0
No smart whales on NO
Smart Whale Trades
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