GeopoliticsResolved

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.24M
24,600 trades
Smart Whales
317
of 8,084 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

39 YESvs280 NO
12%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 266 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $11.9K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $2.1K·NO $9.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 12% YES: Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace…