GeopoliticsResolved

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$98.60M
22,876 trades
Smart Whales
431
of 2,605 traders

Smart Money Consensus

265 YESvs166 NO
62%39%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.4K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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