🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
1 days left

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$1.1K
62 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 65 traders

Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $5.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 36¢
YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 36¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges
+21 new YES · 1 smart whale+36 new NO · 9 smart whales
$132 bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 4 on NO
YES 1NO 3one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
3 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $6·NO $13
YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$8(+150.7%)
Whales
3
N
newbie147🥇
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$8INV $3 · WR 70.9%
B
BeresBalu🥈
Entry 51¢·4.9 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 56.9%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 9¢·4 shares
+$1INV $0 · WR 87.7%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 82ms