YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$337
18 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 28 traders
Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $1.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C or below on November 15
0¢—$150/0Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C or below on November 15—0¢
$150/0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on November 15
0¢—$2210/0Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on November 15—0¢
$2210/0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on November 15
0¢—$150/0Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on November 15—0¢
$150/0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 15
1¢—$1790/0Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 15—1¢
$1790/0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 15
1¢—$510/0Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 15—1¢
$510/0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 15
5¢—$3160/0Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 15—5¢
$3160/0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 15
48¢—$3320/0Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 15—48¢
$3320/0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 15←
47¢—$3370/0Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 15←—47¢
$3370/0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 15
3¢—$740/0Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 15—3¢
$740/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 47¢
YES 14%NO 86%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 47¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges
$109
$268
+11 new YES+19 new NO · 6 smart whales
$10 bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 13h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17 is directional: YES $3·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+339.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$56
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-17.6%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 69¢·29.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $20 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 61¢·24 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 84.8%
N
NimbusEdge🥉
Entry 69¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 75.8%
H
heyhighhuii1
Entry 78¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 60.3%
A
anothercoin
Entry 72¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 84.6%
Z
zzzzzgg
Entry 60¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 78.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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