Resolved1 days left
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$582
248 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 135 traders · 6 on both sides
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 23?
7 MARKETS · $3.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on October 23
1¢−1¢$7520/2Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on October 23−1¢1¢
$7520/2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23←
14¢−14¢$5820/9Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23←−14¢14¢
$5820/9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 23
40¢−4¢$1.7K8/14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 23−4¢40¢
$1.7K8/14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 23
0¢+33¢$4291/2Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 23+33¢0¢
$4291/2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 23
0¢+33¢$1941/2Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 23+33¢0¢
$1941/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs41 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 18 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+65 new YES$1.3K+104 new NO$3.1K
$1.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 37 buyers — left out of momentum
14 smart whales44 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$174 of $711 is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $211·NO $326YES Team
Total Invested
$303
Avg Win Rate
57.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-1.0%)
Whales
15
6
0x65f7226a...🥇hedged
Entry 26¢·700.1 shares·also $67 on NO
Invested
$184
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $184 · WR 55.6%
2
241532532432◆Proven🥈
Entry 33¢·132.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $44 · WR 57.4%
R
risto-test1🥉hedged
Entry 34¢·59.1 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 56.9%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 32¢·58.1 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $19 · WR 59.1%
A
AuspiciousWolf
Entry 32¢·38.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 60.5%
W
weatherwhathedged
Entry 38¢·18.6 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 57.0%
A
Alex.17
Entry 46¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 79.8%
T
thunderfroghedged
Entry 30¢·7.4 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 76.6%
D
dandanteng
Entry 45¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 79.7%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$827
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$102(+12.3%)
Whales
41
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 63¢·242.6 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $154 · WR 57.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 74¢·159.6 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $118 · WR 87.6%
6
0x65f7226a...🥉hedged
Entry 64¢·104.1 shares·also $184 on YES
Invested
$67
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $67 · WR 55.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 67¢·90 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $60 · WR 72.1%
P
PimPamUi
Entry 88¢·44.3 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $39 · WR 89.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 73¢·50 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $37 · WR 88.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 71¢·51.6 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $37 · WR 88.9%
N
neverhackme
Entry 72¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $29 · WR 75.6%
W
whhisky
Entry 73¢·38 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $28 · WR 70.9%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 69¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $23 · WR 59.5%
Showing top 10 of 41
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