Resolved1 days left
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23?
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$4.7K
259 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 137 traders · 5 on both sides
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 23?
7 MARKETS · $8.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on October 23
1¢−1¢$9010/2Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on October 23−1¢1¢
$9010/2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23←
26¢−26¢$4.7K0/9Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23←−26¢26¢
$4.7K0/9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 23
42¢−6¢$1.9K8/14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 23−6¢42¢
$1.9K8/14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 23
1¢+32¢$7531/2Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 23+32¢1¢
$7531/2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 23
0¢+33¢$1941/2Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 23+33¢0¢
$1941/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs40 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 42% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 20 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+68 new YES$1.5K+107 new NO$3.3K
$2.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 40 buyers — left out of momentum
14 smart whales45 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$43 of $701 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $276·NO $382YES Team
Total Invested
$303
Avg Win Rate
57.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$40(-13.1%)
Whales
15
6
0x65f7226a...🥇
Entry 26¢·700.1 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $184 · WR 55.6%
2
241532532432◆Proven🥈
Entry 33¢·132.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $44 · WR 57.4%
R
risto-test1🥉hedged
Entry 34¢·59.1 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $20 · WR 56.9%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 32¢·58.1 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $19 · WR 59.1%
A
AuspiciousWolf
Entry 32¢·38.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 60.5%
W
weatherwhathedged
Entry 38¢·18.6 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 57.0%
A
Alex.17
Entry 46¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 79.8%
T
thunderfroghedged
Entry 30¢·7.4 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 76.6%
D
dandanteng
Entry 45¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 79.7%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$671
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+7.7%)
Whales
40
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 63¢·242.6 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $154 · WR 57.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 67¢·90 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $60 · WR 72.1%
P
PimPamUi🥉
Entry 88¢·44.3 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $39 · WR 89.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 73¢·50 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $37 · WR 88.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 71¢·51.6 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 88.9%
N
neverhackme
Entry 72¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 75.6%
W
whhisky
Entry 73¢·38 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 70.9%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 69¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 59.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 73¢·28.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 · WR 87.6%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 67¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 40
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