YES Price
49¢
49% implied
NO Price
51¢
51% implied
Volume
$1.3K
55 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 51 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Paris on November 17?
11 MARKETS · $3.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on November 17
0¢—$850/0Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on November 17—0¢
$850/0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 17
1¢—$180/0Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 17—1¢
$180/0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 17
1¢—$300/0Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 17—1¢
$300/0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 17
3¢—$460/0Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 17—3¢
$460/0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on November 17
6¢—$220/0Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on November 17—6¢
$220/0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on November 17
27¢—$9620/0Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on November 17—27¢
$9620/0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on November 17←
49¢—$1.3K0/0Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on November 17←—49¢
$1.3K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on November 17
20¢—$9300/0Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on November 17—20¢
$9300/0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on November 17
2¢—$380/0Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on November 17—2¢
$380/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 49¢
YES 58%NO 42%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 49¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%· net of hedges
$600
$695
+29 new YES · 6 smart whales+35 new NO · 5 smart whales
$483 bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 2
YES 2NO 2one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 8h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $325 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $279·NO $43YES Team
Total Invested
$280
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+3.1%)
Whales
7
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 48¢·348.9 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $167 · WR 55.3%
P
pierodi87🥈
Entry 51¢·117 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $60 · WR 55.7%
7
0x74a35f8a...🥉
Entry 47¢·72.6 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $34 · WR 70.0%
T
TakeYourTemperature
Entry 48¢·28.7 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 69.3%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $3 · WR 70.9%
T
twobonclayhedged
Entry 50¢·3 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.6%
5
5ps
Entry 52¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.3%)
Whales
5
T
twobonclay🥇hedged
Entry 53¢·51.4 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 59.6%
W
whhisky🥈
Entry 51¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 70.3%
7
0x79c278bf...🥉
Entry 50¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 56.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 53¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 88.6%
P
pyckwyk
Entry 52¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 57.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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