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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on November 17?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$930
46 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 41 traders

Highest temperature in Paris on November 17?

11 MARKETS · $3.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 20¢
YES 44%NO 56%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 20¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+17 new YES · 3 smart whales+31 new NO · 5 smart whales
$52 bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 8h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $129 is directional: YES $48·NO $82
YES Team
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
57.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+39.3%)
Whales
4
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 15¢·228.1 shares
+$9INV $35 · WR 56.3%
7
0x79c278bf...🥈
Entry 11¢·76.6 shares
+$6INV $9 · WR 56.7%
N
newbie147🥉
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$3INV $3 · WR 70.9%
P
pyckwyk
Entry 18¢·5 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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