YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$608
29 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 32 traders
Highest temperature in Munich on November 16?
11 MARKETS · $4.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 16←
13¢—$6080/0Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 16←—13¢
$6080/0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on November 16
39¢—$1.3K0/0Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on November 16—39¢
$1.3K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on November 16
36¢—$7210/0Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on November 16—36¢
$7210/0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on November 16
11¢—$4430/0Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on November 16—11¢
$4430/0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on November 16
0¢—$2430/0Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on November 16—0¢
$2430/0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on November 16
0¢—$850/0Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on November 16—0¢
$850/0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on November 16
0¢—$1420/0Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on November 16—0¢
$1420/0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 16
0¢—$850/0Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 16—0¢
$850/0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 16
4¢—$2960/0Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 16—4¢
$2960/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 13¢
YES 40%NO 60%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 13¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
$57
$531
+16 new YES · 3 smart whales+20 new NO · 6 smart whales
$12 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 20h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $27 is directional: YES $10·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
62.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+14.7%)
Whales
4
J
Jorma22🥇
Entry 13¢·25.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 55.4%
N
newbie147🥈
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 70.9%
N
Near-Science🥉
Entry 8¢·29.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 57.5%
W
whhisky
Entry 17¢·10.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 70.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$138
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-5.1%)
Whales
6
K
kaxel78🥇
Entry 93¢·50.9 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $47 · WR 82.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 94¢·50 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $47 · WR 86.1%
A
AAAGoose🥉
Entry 88¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
—
—INV $17 · WR 72.5%
A
anothercoin
Entry 90¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 84.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 90¢·7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 79.2%
Z
zzzzzgg
Entry 94¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 84.7%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)