1 days left

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 16?

YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$608
29 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 32 traders

Highest temperature in Munich on November 16?

11 MARKETS · $4.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 13¢
YES 40%NO 60%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 13¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+16 new YES · 3 smart whales+20 new NO · 6 smart whales
$12 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 20h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $27 is directional: YES $10·NO $17

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 46% YES: the highest temperature in Munich…