2 days left
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on November 16?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$689
43 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 51 traders
Highest temperature in Chicago on November 16?
11 MARKETS · $1.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 41°F or below on November 16
0¢—$350/0Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 41°F or below on November 16—0¢
$350/0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on November 16
0¢—$350/0Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on November 16—0¢
$350/0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on November 16
1¢—$800/0Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on November 16—1¢
$800/0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on November 16
4¢—$50/0Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on November 16—4¢
$50/0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on November 16
4¢—$50/0Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on November 16—4¢
$50/0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on November 16
6¢—$240/0Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on November 16—6¢
$240/0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on November 16←
27¢—$6890/0Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on November 16←—27¢
$6890/0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 16
51¢—$2620/0Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 16—51¢
$2620/0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on November 16
12¢—$700/0Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on November 16—12¢
$700/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 27¢
YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 27¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
$187
$504
+18 new YES · 2 smart whales+36 new NO · 9 smart whales
$44 bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2NO 3one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 14h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $230 is directional: YES $13·NO $217YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+37.2%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$223
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+0.1%)
Whales
9
M
mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud🥇
Entry 73¢·129 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $94 · WR 62.4%
T
twobonclay🥈
Entry 72¢·64.4 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $47 · WR 59.5%
S
sgwegw🥉
Entry 73¢·35.5 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $26 · WR 65.2%
F
0xf550a949...
Entry 74¢·23 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $17 · WR 55.4%
S
sbel
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 75.3%
H
heyhighhuii1
Entry 77¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 60.3%
C
crabrave
Entry 75¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 61.7%
K
kerbrerv
Entry 74¢·8.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 61.3%
5
5ps
Entry 73¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 57.9%
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