2 days left

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on November 16?

YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$697
48 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 54 traders

Highest temperature in Chicago on November 16?

11 MARKETS · $1.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 27¢
YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 27¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+20 new YES · 2 smart whales+37 new NO · 9 smart whales
$46 bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2NO 3one dot = one wallet

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 14h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $236 is directional: YES $13·NO $223

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 25% YES: the highest temperature in Chicago…