5 days left

Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15?

YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$2.1K
68 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 41 traders

First snow of the 2026 season

24 MARKETS · $38.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs3 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 7¢
YES 40%NO 60%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 7¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 24h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $486 is directional: YES $79·NO $406

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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