YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$50.1K
1,092 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 253 traders
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?
2 MARKETS · $105.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs31 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 16 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+41 new YES$340+24 new NO$2.0K
$441 of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.1K is directional: YES $145·NO $2.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-90.8%)
Whales
14
C
Capital-Endoderm🥇hedged
Entry 101¢·420.1 shares·also $188 on NO
Invested
$423
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-416
$-416INV $423 · WR 60.4%
T
Toncar16🥈hedged
Entry 57¢·676 shares·also $111 on NO
Invested
$384
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-372
$-372INV $384 · WR 56.9%
T
Threadbare-Tomatillo🥉hedged
Entry 82¢·306.8 shares·also $69 on NO
Invested
$253
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-248
$-248INV $253 · WR 61.1%
P
Porx
Entry 47¢·200 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $94 · WR 65.9%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 24¢·167.2 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $41 · WR 56.0%
A
anoinwhowinhedged
Entry 12¢·100 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $12 · WR 57.0%
L
louiskff
Entry 61¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $10 · WR 56.3%
T
Taylishedged
Entry 7¢·125.3 shares·also $106 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $9 · WR 59.0%
9
0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3
Entry 16¢·0.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 69.7%
Showing top 9 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+59.0%)
Whales
31
G
geowatch🥇
Entry 80¢·1,303.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $1.0K · WR 67.7%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥈
Entry 91¢·610 shares
Invested
$554
Win Rate
91.0%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $554 · WR 91.0%
W
Wowiwow◆Proven🥉
Entry 88¢·450.8 shares
Invested
$398
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $398 · WR 84.1%
P
Pilagi
Entry 58¢·427.7 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $250 · WR 66.7%
U
Umaroth
Entry 33¢·567 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$368
+$368INV $190 · WR 60.6%
C
Capital-Endodermhedged
Entry 45¢·420.1 shares·also $423 on YES
Invested
$188
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$225
+$225INV $188 · WR 60.4%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 74¢·240 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $177 · WR 65.3%
J
Johndorito
Entry 83¢·156.6 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $130 · WR 81.8%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 59¢·200 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $118 · WR 63.1%
T
Toncar16hedged
Entry 10¢·1,076 shares·also $384 on YES
Invested
$111
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$946
+$946INV $111 · WR 56.9%
Showing top 10 of 31
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