PoliticsResolved
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$16.0K
329 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 124 traders
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs29 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $217YES Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+27.9%)
Whales
18
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥇
Entry 85¢·1,581.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$235
+$235INV $1.3K · WR 65.0%
A
archaic🥈
Entry 99¢·1,332.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $1.3K · WR 86.7%
A
almost-never🥉
Entry 77¢·1,445.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$328
+$328INV $1.1K · WR 73.0%
2
0x26b16660...
Entry 99¢·444.4 shares
Invested
$440
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $440 · WR 59.4%
G
grio4j3232f3e3
Entry 95¢·411.8 shares
Invested
$391
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $391 · WR 55.6%
S
Seeking-Alpha01hedged
Entry 49¢·783.7 shares·also $964 on NO
Invested
$381
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$403
+$403INV $381 · WR 67.6%
B
BKno95◆Proven
Entry 98¢·169.6 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $167 · WR 72.2%
H
hack-vc
Entry 50¢·290 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $145 · WR 71.3%
G
gambler925
Entry 88¢·138 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $121 · WR 56.6%
A
0xabb9d267...
Entry 88¢·50.6 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $44 · WR 63.8%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.4K(-87.8%)
Whales
29
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 56¢·1,749.8 shares
Invested
$977
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-977
$-977INV $977 · WR 85.9%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥈hedged
Entry 119¢·812.9 shares·also $381 on YES
Invested
$964
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-964
$-964INV $964 · WR 67.6%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥉
Entry 48¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$576
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-576
$-576INV $576 · WR 70.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 89¢·344 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$307
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-307
$-307INV $307 · WR 55.2%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 47¢·462.3 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $215 · WR 59.9%
A
Antony82
Entry 43¢·500.7 shares
Invested
$214
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-208
$-208INV $214 · WR 60.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 21¢·424.7 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 24¢·304.8 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $72 · WR 72.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 45¢·7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 68.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 0¢·125 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 83.5%
Showing top 10 of 29
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