PoliticsResolved
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$23.0K
529 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 129 traders
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs40 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $2·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
56.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-99.0%)
Whales
7
T
Toncar16🥇
Entry 54¢·2,909.6 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1569
$-1569INV $1.6K · WR 57.0%
Z
zetbetter🥈
Entry 49¢·665.6 shares
Invested
$326
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-326
$-326INV $326 · WR 55.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 85¢·160.7 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$137
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $137 · WR 55.3%
E
Edje25
Entry 95¢·131.3 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 59.7%
V
vyemfql
Entry 4¢·24.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 69.2%
J
JPLP
Entry 1¢·100 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.0%
Showing top 6 of 7
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.2K
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+18.8%)
Whales
40
A
almost-never🥇
Entry 83¢·2,321.3 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$384
+$384INV $1.9K · WR 73.0%
M
mr.ozi◆Proven🥈
Entry 96¢·1,437 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $1.4K · WR 71.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 93¢·1,369.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $1.3K · WR 85.9%
P
PetrGrepl
Entry 93¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $1.1K · WR 68.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 64¢·786.6 shares
Invested
$506
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$281
+$281INV $506 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 71¢·602.2 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $430 · WR 72.2%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 92¢·419.4 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $385 · WR 85.7%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 94¢·385.2 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $363 · WR 77.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 61¢·510 shares
Invested
$311
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$199
+$199INV $311 · WR 87.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 93¢·268 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $250 · WR 84.9%
Showing top 10 of 40
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