PoliticsResolved
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$31.0K
576 trades
Smart Whales
54
of 155 traders
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs36 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $56 is directional: YES $46·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$8.1K
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.8K(+46.3%)
Whales
18
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 59¢·3,525.8 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$1455
+$1455INV $2.1K · WR 77.3%
G
gaclfz◆Proven🥈
Entry 100¢·1,987.5 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2.0K · WR 74.2%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven🥉
Entry 62¢·2,208.8 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$845
+$845INV $1.4K · WR 62.5%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivorhedged
Entry 88¢·708.3 shares·also $165 on NO
Invested
$621
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $621 · WR 70.5%
L
LulaVaiPerder
Entry 50¢·1,170.5 shares
Invested
$585
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$585
+$585INV $585 · WR 75.2%
A
almost-never
Entry 63¢·895.6 shares
Invested
$566
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$330
+$330INV $566 · WR 73.0%
9
9797979797997
Entry 50¢·856.7 shares
Invested
$428
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$428
+$428INV $428 · WR 58.3%
W
Wobbly-Shadowboxhedged
Entry 75¢·213.3 shares·also $518 on NO
Invested
$160
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $160 · WR 66.7%
H
Honest-Surprise
Entry 23¢·104 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $24 · WR 66.1%
A
aliiz
Entry 22¢·104 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $23 · WR 65.1%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.2K(-81.1%)
Whales
36
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 43¢·3,015.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1297
$-1297INV $1.3K · WR 72.2%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·1,629.6 shares
Invested
$815
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-815
$-815INV $815 · WR 85.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 20¢·2,621.9 shares
Invested
$526
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-526
$-526INV $526 · WR 85.9%
W
Wobbly-Shadowboxhedged
Entry 243¢·213.3 shares·also $160 on YES
Invested
$518
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-518
$-518INV $518 · WR 66.7%
A
Antony82
Entry 50¢·874.7 shares
Invested
$437
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-437
$-437INV $437 · WR 61.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·430 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-215
$-215INV $215 · WR 86.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 30¢·688 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-208
$-208INV $208 · WR 87.7%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivorhedged
Entry 56¢·291.7 shares·also $621 on YES
Invested
$165
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-165
$-165INV $165 · WR 70.5%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 3¢·1,633.8 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $44 · WR 84.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 4¢·363.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 77.6%
Showing top 10 of 36
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