PoliticsResolved
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$13.8K
367 trades
Smart Whales
38
of 109 traders
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs31 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $230 is directional: YES $224·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-93.7%)
Whales
7
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇
Entry 50¢·2,513.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-1257
$-1257INV $1.3K · WR 67.6%
M
Musk5🥈
Entry 37¢·2,233.9 shares
Invested
$832
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-832
$-832INV $832 · WR 71.9%
A
Antony82🥉
Entry 65¢·834.7 shares
Invested
$544
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-544
$-544INV $544 · WR 60.4%
R
Renan2030hedged
Entry 60¢·265 shares·also $102 on NO
Invested
$159
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-159
$-159INV $159 · WR 77.4%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3
Entry 38¢·400.2 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $154 · WR 57.9%
J
JPLP
Entry 33¢·210 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $70 · WR 57.0%
A
aliiz
Entry 21¢·91 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 65.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.0K(+76.3%)
Whales
31
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 53¢·1,411.9 shares
Invested
$750
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$662
+$662INV $750 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 50¢·1,332.9 shares
Invested
$668
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$665
+$665INV $668 · WR 87.7%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥉
Entry 55¢·880 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$392
+$392INV $488 · WR 70.5%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 60¢·503.4 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$202
+$202INV $302 · WR 62.5%
A
almost-never
Entry 50¢·600 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$300
+$300INV $300 · WR 73.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 49¢·502 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$256
+$256INV $246 · WR 55.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 80¢·135 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $108 · WR 86.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 52¢·200 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $103 · WR 88.7%
R
Renan2030hedged
Entry 38¢·265 shares·also $159 on YES
Invested
$102
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $102 · WR 77.4%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $100 · WR 59.8%
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