GeopoliticsResolved

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$219.1K

1,017 trades

Smart Whales

26

of 276 traders

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

3 MARKETS · $3.13M MATCHED

Smart Money

0¢+12¢$219.1K3/23

by June 15←+12¢0¢

17¢+22¢$1.67M104/162

by December 31+22¢17¢

7¢+29¢$1.24M78/141

by October 31+29¢7¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs23 NO

12%89%

89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $311 is directional: YES $311·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$342

Avg Win Rate

59.2%

Aggregate P&L

-$341(-99.7%)

Whales

3

Entry 4¢·7,710.1 shares

$-311INV $311 · WR 59.4%

BikesarethebestProven🥈

Entry 2¢·1,124.6 shares

$-23INV $24 · WR 56.3%

Blaring-Backdrop🥉hedged

Entry 10¢·63 shares·also $68 on NO

$-7INV $7 · WR 58.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$55.6K

Avg Win Rate

79.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$994(+1.8%)

Whales

23

Compassionate-Kneejerk🥇

Entry 99¢·16,553.1 shares

+$95INV $16.4K · WR 90.5%

Entry 100¢·7,613.7 shares

+$13INV $7.6K · WR 65.3%

Entry 96¢·6,655.5 shares

+$256INV $6.4K · WR 84.5%

Entry 99¢·6,000 shares

+$52INV $5.9K · WR 59.4%

Entry 100¢·5,662.8 shares

+$0INV $5.7K · WR 92.2%

Entry 95¢·5,000 shares

+$240INV $4.8K · WR 70.8%

Entry 89¢·2,655.1 shares

+$293INV $2.4K · WR 72.2%

Entry 99¢·1,683.8 shares

+$23INV $1.7K · WR 87.3%

Entry 100¢·1,147 shares

+$2INV $1.1K · WR 88.3%

Entry 100¢·1,000 shares

+$1INV $998 · WR 63.2%

Showing top 10 of 23

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Smart money 12% YES: Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively…