Politics7 days left
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$6.3K
281 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 85 traders
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
7 MARKETS · $72.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24←
1¢+11¢$6.3K3/22Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24←+11¢1¢
$6.3K3/22
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive
1¢+18¢$20.2K6/26Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive+18¢1¢
$20.2K6/26
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive
1¢+18¢$23.6K6/26Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive+18¢1¢
$23.6K6/26
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive
1¢+29¢$6.3K9/21Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive+29¢1¢
$6.3K9/21
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive
90¢−70¢$8.4K6/24Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive−70¢90¢
$8.4K6/24
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs22 NO
12%88%
88% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team58 traders
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
61.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-45.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team58 traders
Total Invested
$199
Avg Win Rate
87.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$834(+420.0%)
Whales
22
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 99¢·80 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $79 · WR 88.2%
U
Unacceptable-Woman🥈
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 89.7%
C
Corlys🥉
Entry 98¢·27.5 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $27 · WR 89.3%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 8¢·170 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$155
+$155INV $13 · WR 85.8%
O
oVyg7f
Entry 15¢·82.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $12 · WR 77.3%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 5¢·213.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$200
+$200INV $11 · WR 85.7%
A
animal.bean
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 82.3%
P
paspor
Entry 4¢·122.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $5 · WR 85.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 99¢·4.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $5 · WR 79.6%
T
Tysha
Entry 5¢·50 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $3 · WR 89.3%
Showing top 10 of 22
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 125ms