YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$558
43 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 50 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 16?
11 MARKETS · $3.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 16
0¢—$850/0Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 16—0¢
$850/0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C or higher on November 16
0¢—$350/0Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C or higher on November 16—0¢
$350/0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C or below on November 16
0¢—$350/0Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C or below on November 16—0¢
$350/0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 16
0¢—$350/0Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 16—0¢
$350/0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C on November 16
1¢—$700/0Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C on November 16—1¢
$700/0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 16
1¢—$1240/0Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 16—1¢
$1240/0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 16
5¢—$5330/0Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 16—5¢
$5330/0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 16
46¢—$1.4K0/0Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 16—46¢
$1.4K0/0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 16←
46¢—$5580/0Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 16←—46¢
$5580/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 46¢
YES 60%NO 40%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 46¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
$227
$296
+24 new YES · 6 smart whales+28 new NO · 4 smart whales
$16 bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 19h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$9 of $43 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $31·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$36
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+28.1%)
Whales
6
J
jbutler23🥇
Entry 45¢·44.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 73.7%
T
twobonclay🥈
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 59.5%
W
whhisky🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·10.2 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 70.4%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $3 · WR 70.9%
5
5ps
Entry 48¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 57.9%
F
0xffe343d4...
Entry 43¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.8%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 56¢·35.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 54¢·27.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 86.1%
Z
zzzzzgg🥉
Entry 56¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 84.7%
W
whhiskyhedged
Entry 51¢·14.3 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 70.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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