YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$979
46 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 50 traders
Highest temperature in Beijing on November 16?
11 MARKETS · $3.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on November 16
3¢—$1200/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on November 16—3¢
$1200/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on November 16
1¢—$790/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on November 16—1¢
$790/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on November 16
1¢—$500/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on November 16—1¢
$500/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C or higher on November 16
1¢—$4340/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C or higher on November 16—1¢
$4340/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 3°C or below on November 16
0¢—$850/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 3°C or below on November 16—0¢
$850/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 4°C on November 16
0¢—$250/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 4°C on November 16—0¢
$250/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 5°C on November 16
1¢—$790/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 5°C on November 16—1¢
$790/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 6°C on November 16
3¢—$2260/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 6°C on November 16—3¢
$2260/0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 7°C on November 16←
30¢—$9790/0Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 7°C on November 16←—30¢
$9790/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 30¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 30¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
$235
$709
+21 new YES · 1 smart whale+37 new NO · 9 smart whales
$116 bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 19h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $111 is directional: YES $53·NO $58YES Team
Total Invested
$53
Avg Win Rate
56.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-4.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$76
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+1.6%)
Whales
8
H
HWReborn🥇
Entry 75¢·54.3 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $41 · WR 55.9%
W
whhisky🥈
Entry 72¢·11 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 70.4%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 87.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 66.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 74¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 87.7%
A
anothercoin
Entry 73¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 84.8%
Z
zzzzzgg
Entry 74¢·4.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 84.7%
H
heyhighhhui2
Entry 43¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 61.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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