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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
29¢
29% implied
NO Price
71¢
71% implied
Volume
$463
27 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 34 traders

Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $2.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs3 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 29¢
YES 50%NO 50%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 29¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+13 new YES · 3 smart whales+15 new NO · 3 smart whales
$4 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $5·NO $5
YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+127.6%)
Whales
3
N
newbie147🥇
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 70.9%
B
Bilberry🥈
Entry 22¢·5.9 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.3%
N
Near-Science🥉
Entry 22¢·4.4 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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